· The municipal
bond market measured by the Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index posted a record monthly rally of over 6% in November 2023. The last
time the market rallied this much was during Paul Volcker's war on inflation in
1986.
· After August 2023 when the muni market
saw trades which produced yields in 15 years, we saw further weakening in
September and October. But then we saw a sudden, violent, historic rally in the
Municipal Bond market in November 2023 with the recognition of attractive bond
yields.
· After being in the red through October 31,
2023,
the Bloomberg muni index is up almost 3% for the year through November 30th 2023. This marks a
significant rebound from October's loss of 2.2%.
Still Finding Yields
above 4% and 5%
· Folks, I still would not wait or try to
time this market. During the last week of November 2023, we successfully bid on
multiple investment grade municipal bonds with yields above 5%. It is only a
matter of time before more retail investors wake up and begin to recommit additional
capital to municipal bonds at still attractive prices.
· Remember, 70%
of this asset class is owned by individual investors who tend to overbuy and also
oversell bonds. It is not easy to find 4% and even 5% yields, but this is what
we are paid for.
W. Jeffrey
Watkinson
484-540-9218
jeff@watkinsoncap.com
Senior Vice President
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